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    August 27, 2014

    Today's market Commentary

    Mortgage bond prices are slightly positive this morning erasing the small losses from yesterday afternoon which is keeping rates in check.

    There is no data this morning. We have a 5year auction this afternoon. Yesterdays Treasury auction of $29B of 2-year notes was decent. Both indicators of demand were above average. For each $1 at the auction, the Treasury received 3.48 bids vs. the average of 3.36. Foreign accounts purchased almost 40% of the offering vs. the 27% average.

    Data picks up Thursday with the release of Q2 GDP first revision. Traders are anxious to see if the 4% growth rate holds.

    Stock futures were near unchanged but the DOW was down 9 points at 10am et pricing.

    News out of the eurozone showed some weakness. A German consumer climate index was weaker than expected. Germany is the undisputed economic leader of the eurozone through the recent turmoil. Signs of weakness in that country could send investor funds into U.S. mortgage backed securities in a flight to quality. However, there would have to be a slew of data showing weakness and not just a single miss on one data release for that to occur on any significant scale.

    Event Calendar:
    Monday, Aug 25, 2014
    New Home Sales @ 10 am et

    Tuesday, Aug 26, 2014
    Durable Goods Orders @ 8:30 am et

    Tuesday, Aug 26, 2014
    Consumer Confidence @ 10 am et

    Tuesday, Aug 26, 2014
    2Y Treasury Auction @ 1:15 pm et

    Wednesday, Aug 27, 2014
    5Y Treasury auction @ 1:15 pm et

    Thursday, Aug 28, 2014
    Weekly Jobless Claims @ 8:30 am et

    Thursday, Aug 28, 2014
    Q2 GDP 2nd Estimate @8:30 am et

    Friday, Aug 29, 2014
    Personal Income and Outlays @ 8:30 am et

    Friday, Aug 29, 2014
    PCE Core Inflation@ 8:30 am et

    Friday, Aug 29, 2014
    U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment @ 10 am et

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