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    April 16, 2014

    Today's market Commentary

    Mortgage bonds are lower this morning erasing most of the small improvements we saw yesterday afternoon. We still remain near flat since pricing yesterday morning.

    The data this morning was mixed. The headline Housing starts figure looked rate friendly. Housing starts came in at 946k versus the expected 960k. On the surface it looked like we should get a nice pop of improvement on that. However, the prior release was revised from 907k to 920k which counters the rate friendly headline figure.

    Industrial production rose 0.7% versus the expected 0.5% increase, Capacity use was 79.2 versus the expected 78.8%. Neither of the releases were rate friendly.

    The Fed Beige Book will be released this afternoon. This has the potential to move the financial markets so caution is key. Remember, fixed income securities such as mortgage bonds generally like tame inflation readings with stable growth. The consumer and producer inflation reports the last few days showed higher than expected inflation readings. While this isn't anything to panic over it also doesn't help alleviate uncertainties.

    Event Calendar:
    Monday, Apr 14, 2014
    Retail Sales @ 8:30 am et

    Tuesday, Apr 15, 2014
    Consumer Price Index @ 8:30 am et

    Wednesday, Apr 16, 2014
    Housing Starts @ 8:30 am et

    Wednesday, Apr 16, 2014
    Industrial Production @ 9:15 pm et

    Wednesday, Apr 16, 2014
    Capacity Utilization @ 9:15 am et

    Wednesday, Apr 16, 2014
    Fed Beige Book @ 2pm et

    Thursday, Apr 17, 2014
    Weekly Jobless Claims @ 8:30 am et

    Thursday, Apr 17, 2014
    Philadelphia Fed Survey @ 10 am et

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