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    August 14th, 2017

    Today's market Commentary
    Price

    Mortgage bond prices were mixed at pricing with government bonds positive and conventional prices negative . There was no data this morning. Rates were near unchanged since pricing Friday morning.

    Global stocks were higher overnight and US Stock futures were higher this morning as tensions ease with North Korea. The DOW was up 131 points at pricing.

    The first economic release is retail sales Tuesday. The minutes from the last Fed meeting will be released Wednesday afternoon. Global market participants will look for clues on how the Fed plans to reduce the size of the $4.5T balance sheet. That release could cause volatility, prepare yourself and your referral partners.

    The Fed has a dual mandate from Congress, full employment and price stability. With the unemployment rate at 4.3%, it would be hard to argue that the economy is not at full employment. What has been missing is ‚??price stability‚?? which the Fed has defined as inflation at 2%. Last week saw the release of both the consumer and producer price index reports which were weaker than expected. The Fed will not be able to raise rates again until inflation rises.

    Event Calendar:
    Tuesday, Aug 15, 2017
    Retail Sales @ 8:30 am ET

    Wednesday, Aug 16, 2017
    Housing starts @ 8:30 am ET

    Wednesday, Aug 16, 2017
    Fed Minutes @ 2 pm et

    Thursday, Aug 17, 2017
    Weekly Jobless Claims @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Aug 17, 2017
    Philly Fed @ 10 am ET

    Thursday, Aug 17, 2017
    Industrial Production @ 9:15 am ET

    Thursday, Aug 17, 2017
    Capacity Utilization @ 9:15 am ET

    Thursday, Aug 17, 2017
    Leading Economic Indicators @ 10 am ET

    Friday, Aug 18, 2017
    U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment @ 10 am ET


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