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    December 23, 2014

    Today's market Commentary

    10 am, pricing is set

    Mortgage bond prices remain lower mid-morning Tuesday applying slight upward pressure to mortgage rates. Rates are under mild pressure from strong growth data released this morning.

    Orders for durable goods, items that last more than a few years, fell 0.7%. Traders were expecting orders to rise 2.7%.

    The US economy expanded at a 5% rate in Q3-2014, much better than the expected increase of 4.3%.

    Consumer sentiment printed at 93.6 and new home sales at 438K. Economists‚?? expectations were for sentiment to remain unchanged at 93.8 and new home sales at 460K.

    Personal income rose 0.4% and outlays increased 0.6%. Traders were expecting income and outlays to rise 0.5%. Core PCE inflation was unchanged vs. the expected increase of 0.1%. That data was near estimates.

    Traders will spend the day watching stocks as they wait for the results of the 5-year Treasury auction. Auction results will be published by 1:15 pm ET. The Dow was up 40 breaking the 18,000 mark.

    With the approaching holiday we expect trading conditions to be thin. Thin trading can lead to choppy and turbulent trade or a quiet sleeper. While the latter is likely, stay alert in the event some volatility pops up from time to time.

    Event Calendar:
    Monday, Dec 22, 2014
    Existing Home Sales @10am et

    Monday, Dec 22, 2014
    Treasury auctions begin

    Tuesday, Dec 23, 2014
    Durable Goods Orders @ 8:30 am et

    Tuesday, Dec 23, 2014
    Personal Income and Outlays @ 8:30 am et

    Tuesday, Dec 23, 2014
    PCE Core Inflation @ 8:30 am et

    Tuesday, Dec 23, 2014
    Q3 GDP Third Estimate @ 8:30 am ET

    Tuesday, Dec 23, 2014
    U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment @ 10 am et

    Tuesday, Dec 23, 2014
    New Home Sales @ 10am et

    Wednesday, Dec 24, 2014
    Weekly Jobless Claims @ 8:30 am et


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