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    August 25, 2015

    Today's market Commentary
    2 pm ET update

    Mortgage bond prices remain lower mid-afternoon Tuesday applying upward pressure to mortgage rates.

    In news released this morning, the FAFA housing price index rose 0.2%. New home sales rose 5.4% and consumer confidence printed at 101.5 vs. the expected 93.1. Consumer confidence was much stronger than expected and not rate friendly.

    The Treasury auction of $26B of 2-year notes was mixed. Overall demand was lacking with 3.16 bids for each $1 of the offering. Foreign accounts picked up 47% of the offering. Auction averages have overall demand (bid to cover) at 3.43 and foreign accounts (indirect bidders) at 43%.

    Traders will spend the remainder of the day watching stocks. The Dow is up 225.

    Wednesday brings orders for durable goods in the morning and a 5-year auction in the afternoon.

    The People's Bank of China cut its benchmark one-year lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.6%, effective immediately. That move lit a fire under equity prices in Europe and the US. This explains the rally in equity prices today. Hopefully the gains will stick. Time will tell.


    Event Calendar:
    Tuesday, Aug 25, 2015
    FHFA House Price Index @ 10 am et

    Tuesday, Aug 25, 2015
    New Home Sales @ 10 am et

    Tuesday, Aug 25, 2015
    Treasury Auctions Begin @ 1:15pm et

    Wednesday, Aug 26, 2015
    Consumer Confidence @ 10 am et

    Wednesday, Aug 26, 2015
    Durable Goods Orders @ 8:30 am et

    Thursday, Aug 27, 2015
    Weekly Jobless Claims @ 8:30 am et

    Thursday, Aug 27, 2015
    Q2 GDP @ 8:30 am et

    Friday, Aug 28, 2015
    Personal Income and Outlays @ 8:30 am et

    Friday, Aug 28, 2015
    PCE Core Inflation @ 8:30 am et

    Friday, Aug 28, 2015
    U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment @ 10 am et


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