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    August 31st, 2016

    Today's market Commentary

    MBS prices were near unchanged at pricing which held rates in check. The DOW was down 17 points.

    Mortgage bond prices opened slightly lower this morning which put a little upward pressure on rates but not much.

    The data was a little better than expected. ADP employment came in at 177 versus the expected 170K. The figure was close enough to the estimate that we didn't see a complete selloff.

    Next up is the weekly release Thursday followed by the heavyweight monthly employment report Friday. The Fed continues to talk about a rate hike and made it clear that they are data dependent. If the data comes in stronger than expected a Fed rate hike will be here sooner rather than later.

    Event Calendar:
    Monday, Aug 29, 2016
    Personal Income and Outlays @ 8:30 am et

    Monday, Aug 29, 2016
    PCE Core Inflation @ 8:30 am et

    Tuesday, Aug 30, 2016
    Consumer Confidence @ 10 am ET

    Wednesday, Aug 31, 2016
    ADP Employment @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Sep 1, 2016
    Weekly Jobless Claims @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Sep 1, 2016
    Revised Q2 Productivity @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Sep 1, 2016
    ISM Index @ 10 am ET

    Friday, Sep 2, 2016
    Employment @ 8:30 am ET

    Friday, Sep 2, 2016
    Factory Orders @ 10 am ET

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